KPMG: UK is facing major skills shortage in construction

11 November 2014 Consultancy.uk

The UK construction industry in London and the South East is facing a major skills shortage, according to KPMG and LCCI. For the period 2014-2017, an increase of 20% in required workforce compared to 2010-2013 is expected, while at the same time the current training level is falling behind. For 2015 a deficit of 51% of skilled workers is expected with the current training rate. This deficit needs to be addressed to prevent endangering the house building and large infrastructure projects in the region.

Professional services firm KPMG, together with business organisation London Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), recently launched a new report titled ‘Skills to build’. This report analyses the skills gap and training shortage in relation to the construction pipeline in London and the South East for the period 2014 to 2017.

The overall conclusion of the report: the UK construction sector is facing a major shortage in skills, which will endanger the infrastructure ambitions of the UK. “For the first time in many generations, the UK has a strong pipeline of construction and infrastructure projects to reinvigorate the economy and drive our future competitiveness. But delivery of that pipeline is now in jeopardy - not for lack of political will or funding – but for lack of a sufficiently large and trained workforce,” says Richard Threlfall, UK Head of Infrastructure, Building and Construction at KPMG.

Pipeline value 2014-2017For the period 2014-2017, almost £96 billion worth of construction projects are planned. Of this £95.7 billion, £51.7 billion worth of projects have already been contracted and £15 billion have been granted detailed approval. According to the researchers, new construction projects are coming into the pipeline on a continuous basis. As a result, the expected output of projects for 2016 and 2017 is likely to either reach or surpass the 2015 value. The UK Construction Industry Training Board (CITB) expects a growth in construction of 2% for London and 2.9% for the South East region on an annual basis for the period 2014-2018, which will come down to an additional forecasted £26.7 in 2016 and 2017.

Total labour requirements 2014-2017

With more projects being planned for 2016 and 2017, the labour required for this period is also expected to reach or surpass the 2015 level. The CITB expects an annual increase of 1.4% in London and 1.6% in the South Ease for the period 2014-2018. The total expected labour demand in the two regions for 2014 is 430,706 and 585,863 in 2015. The expected total labour required for 2016 is 594,645, of which 391,149 for projects in the pipeline and 203,496 for forecasted projects. For 2017 the expected required labour force is 603,567, of which 297,480 for planned and 306,087 for forecasted projects. The research shows that the median average demand for workers in the period of 2014-2017 is 410,928, which is a 20% increase from the 341,638 workers in the period 2010-2013.

2015 labour and training requirements

This 20% increase in labour demand needs to be addressed to divert a major skills crisis in the construction industry. The industry, which has had difficulties in recruiting enough skilled workers, needs to find and train new employees to keep up with the pace of the expected new projects. KPMG and LCCI show that with the current training a deficit of 14,807 labour skills will occur as early as 2015, when 29,293 skilled employees are needed. This represents a gap of 51% in competency-based training, a gap that needs to be closed for the house-building and large infrastructure projects not to be jeopardised.

“Unless action is taken now, our housing targets will be missed, and infrastructure projects delayed. This report calls on the industry itself to wake up and take responsibility to increase levels of training dramatically,” concludes Threlfall. “It also calls on Government and training providers to recognise that the industry is changing, with ever greater application of technology and a trend towards offsite manufacturing - the skills required in the industry tomorrow will be very different from the skills required today. And above all it calls on all in the industry to take steps to boost the image of the construction sector as an attractive career path for the next generation in our schools and colleges.”

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High employment drives deals to access fresh talent

09 April 2019 Consultancy.uk

The UK continues to have a historically low unemployment rate, resulting in a tightening employment market and demand for recruitment services. The industry topped £12.3 billion last year, while valuations continued to rachet up. There were were 32 firm acquisitions in the recruitment services space last year, up significantly on the previous five-year average.

Labour markets globally are tightening, particularly in developed economies. At the same time, access to top talent is becoming increasingly difficult to source, as demand for that talent continues to rise. Higher demand has been one of the key drivers for acquisitions in the space. New analysis of the recruitment M&A market, from consultancy firm BDO, looks at current trends and future projections for activity in the segment.

The UK employment rate has grown considerably over the past decade, with the number of NEET decreasing, more women joining the workforce, and older people continuing to work, among other trends. Participation rates hit more than 75% in 2018, up from around 73% in 2014. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1% last year, the lowest level in more than 40 years.

UK Recruitment Market

 

The recruitment industry has enjoyed strong growth over the same period, with revenues increasing from around £8 billion in 2014 to £12.3 billion last year. However, the growth rate for the industry is expected to stall for the coming years – the firm is projecting annual growth of 0.1% to 2024. The stall reflects deep seated uncertainties stemming from the future of the UK, from migration to internal employment in an increasingly uncertain future.

According to the firm’s analysis of market trends for UK listed FTSE recruitment companies, their performance over 2018 outperformed the wider FTSE market by a significant market during some months – the end-of-year uncertainty hit both recruitment and non-recruitment firms with relatively equal strength. The drop partly reflects market sentiment about the future of the UK.

FTSE Listed Recruitment Firms Average EV/EBITDA Multiple

 

The study also considered the multiples growth, average EV/EBITDA multiples, over the past year – which has shown considerable ups and downs. The yearly average multiple of 10.4x was above that of 2017’s 9.9x – although a 26% drop at the end of the year was significant. The drop was tied to the relative volatility in macroeconomic conditions affecting the globe, though another major contributing factor has been Brexit and political instability.

Global M&A

The global recruitment M&A market was particularly active in the UK, with 32 deals last year – a five-year high, and well above the 17 recorded for second-place US. Deal activity in the UK was focused on expertise and capacity in industrial and technical sectors, reflecting skills shortages in those segments. The US was largely focused on healthcare-related M&A, representing 25% of their market.

Overall, of the 92 deals in 2018 (a 21% drop on 2017) generalist firms were the most in demand, at 25% of the total, followed by education at 14% and engineering & construction at 13%. Software saw relatively low demand, at 2%.Investment into the UK by country

In terms of investments made into the UK, domestic investment continues to be the most dominant, accounting for 24 deals. Japan made three deals, although Brexit is seeing the country become increasingly nervous about investment. The US accounted for two deals. The longer-term trend shows that domestic investment is up on 2017, hitting the highest level in five years, while the US has reduced its M&A investment into the UK.

Commenting on the results, the firm noted, “The latest report shows the recruitment sector remains strong and continued to grow through 2018 despite facing many challenges. Notwithstanding the personalised nature of these services, the market continues to evolve, seeing traditional recruitment firms utilising available technology along with new entrants showcasing innovative platforms.”

Related: High UK employment masks troubled economy.